Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:25:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D5 0xd55c…b355 crypto 222 markets active 7d ago coverage 28d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$18 (-1%) realized −$18 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate47%104W / 118L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day19.2pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$6
14 days−$7
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$98
other 2% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -12.6% -21.0% 46% 25% -20.6%
≤30d 72 -14.0% -22.2% 43% 32% -22.6%
≤90d 222 -6.8% -15.6% 47% 38% -15.3%
all 222 -6.8% -15.6% 47% 38% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 38% -15.3%
10% -23.7% 28% -23.4%
15% -31.1% 21% -30.8%
20% -37.8% 11% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.77 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses104 / 118
Open positions0
Markets (closed)222 / 222
History coverage28d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day19.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 222 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 19 $3 −$1 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 19 $1 $0 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET May 19 $2 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 19 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 19 $1 +$1 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET May 19 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 19 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET May 19 $1 $0 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 19 $3 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET May 19 $1 +$1 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 19 $2 $0 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 19 $1 $0 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 565 history records