Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:25:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd552…5ebe
crypto · 1068 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6,232 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,743 · open −$88
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$669
Realized−$7,743
Unrealized−$88
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses375 / 685
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$527
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1060 / 1068
History coverage214d
Avg bet$152
Trades / day11.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 8 History 1060 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$221
7 days+$437
14 days−$1,166
30 days−$3,574
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $195 $197 +$2 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? No 8¢ 8¢ $160 $149 −$11 (-7%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 15? No 9¢ 7¢ $180 $139 −$41 (-23%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 6¢ 9¢ $40 $60 +$20 (+49%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $92 $48 −$44 (-48%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $27 $29 +$2 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? No 2¢ 1¢ $35 $26 −$9 (-26%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $28 $22 −$6 (-23%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 48¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Peyton Stearns 43¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 41¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? No 21¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? No 16¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Corentin Moutet 57¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $244 $0 −$244 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thiago Agustin Tirante 48¢ 0¢ $393 $0 −$393 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $152 +$102 +67%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $103 +$396 +386%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $203 −$200 -98%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $56 −$55 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $299 +$293 +98%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $107 −$105 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $85 −$80 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $125 +$156 +124%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $225 −$222 -98%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $238 +$195 +82%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $189 +$355 +188%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $224 +$269 +120%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $77 −$72 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 11 $139 −$130 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 11 $149 −$142 -96%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $142 +$138 +97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $366 −$346 -94%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $200 +$193 +97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $35 −$33 -94%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $203 −$198 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 10 $63 −$59 -94%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $224 +$295 +132%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $204 +$16 +8%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $168 −$165 -98%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Jan Choinski Jun 10 $200 +$176 +88%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $100 −$94 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $206 −$195 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 10 $275 −$260 -94%
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 09 $145 −$143 -98%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 09 $101 +$97 +96%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $250 +$96 +39%
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 09 $203 +$180 +89%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 09 $203 −$200 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $50 −$47 -94%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 09 $201 +$356 +177%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Jun 07 $265 −$249 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 07 $102 −$96 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? Jun 07 $199 −$32 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $109 −$102 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Jun 03 $134 −$126 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $27 −$25 -94%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $251 −$247 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $322 −$315 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $194 −$46 -24%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2? Jun 01 $107 −$100 -94%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 01 $231 −$226 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 46% −$4,786
sports 35% −$584
other 16% −$909
finance 2% +$126
tech 1% −$1,495
world 0% −$100
economics 0% −$17
politics 0% −$15
culture 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 6¢ $41 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 3¢ $29 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 5¢ $28 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $198 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 100¢ $254 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 59¢ $152 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY No 9¢ $106 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 15? BUY No 9¢ $43 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY No 8¢ $64 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No 2¢ $37 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 15? BUY No 9¢ $53 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 15? BUY No 9¢ $96 5h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL Yes 79¢ $498 6h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 16¢ $103 9h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? BUY Yes 3¢ $27 19h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? BUY Yes 3¢ $53 19h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? BUY Yes 3¢ $18 19h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 50¢ $203 22h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 10¢ $56 22h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 3¢ $31 22h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 5¢ $31 22h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $21 22h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 93¢ $592 29h
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand BUY Yes 9¢ $51 29h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 29¢ $107 30h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 43¢ $61 30h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $27 31h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $59 36h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $43 36h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $195 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -10.6% -19.1% 41% 38% -2.9%
≤30d 72 -35.7% -41.9% 29% 28% -34.2%
≤90d 395 -20.5% -28.1% 32% 31% -22.4%
all 1060 -17.8% -25.6% 35% 35% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.6% 35% -14.0%
10% -32.7% 34% -22.3%
15% -39.2% 33% -29.8%
20% -45.2% 30% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $668.64 · official $665.92 (match) · 3187 history records