Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:31:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D5 0xd545…6d33 crypto 1620 markets active 8h ago coverage 58d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 57d only
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$168 (+3%) realized +$168 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR65%break-even
Win rate65%1070W / 586L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day58.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$353
7 days−$278
14 days−$1
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$365
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 396 -21.4% -28.9% 47% 47% -27.7%
≤30d 1055 -0.7% -10.1% 64% 64% -9.2%
≤90d 1656 -1.1% -10.6% 65% 65% -9.6%
all 1656 -1.1% -10.6% 65% 65% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 65% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 65% -18.3%
15% -26.9% 65% -26.2%
20% -34.1% 24% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.55 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

58d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$168
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1070 / 586
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1656 / 1620
History coverage58d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day58.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1656 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $6 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $6 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $6 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records