Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:02:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd543…e0b1
crypto · 14 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses9 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -3.5% -12.7% 69% 62% -8.0%
≤30d 13 -3.5% -12.7% 69% 62% -8.0%
≤90d 13 -3.5% -12.7% 69% 62% -8.0%
all 13 -3.5% -12.7% 69% 62% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 62% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 38% -16.8%
15% -28.7% 23% -24.8%
20% -35.7% 0% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 39 history records