Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:47:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd541…590f
other · 241 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$93 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses8 / 233
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)241 / 241
History coverage134d
Avg bet$222
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$16
14 days−$24
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 12 $384 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $412 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $201 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $371 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 12 $289 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 11 $223 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 11 $705 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $58 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $596 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $283 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $58 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $532 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $290 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $307 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $120 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $831 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $366 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $371 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $299 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $276 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $442 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $285 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $109 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $390 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $745 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 06 $313 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $71 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $288 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $145 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $449 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $61 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $192 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $240 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $170 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 02 $125 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $238 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $195 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $356 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $150 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $524 −$1 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $247 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $172 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $680 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $135 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 28 $305 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $491 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $335 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 27 $215 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $242 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 26 $365 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$43
sports 24% −$19
politics 8% −$6
economics 7% −$7
culture 7% −$7
crypto 4% −$3
world 4% −$6
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $57 1h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $57 3h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $57 4h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $57 6h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $57 7h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $57 8h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $57 13h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $57 14h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $57 16h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $57 18h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $57 23h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $58 24h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $58 27h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 99¢ $58 28h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $58 31h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $58 33h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $58 43h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $58 44h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $50 2d
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 99¢ $50 2d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $58 2d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $58 2d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $58 2d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $58 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $58 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $58 2d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $58 3d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $58 3d
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $58 3d
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $59 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 73 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 173 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 241 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1367 history records