Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd535…9fae
crypto · 97 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,689 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,659 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized+$1,659
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses82 / 53
Open positions3
Markets (closed)135 / 97
History coverage1d
Avg bet$96
Trades / day3371.0
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,659
7 days+$1,659
14 days+$1,659
30 days+$1,659
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 39¢ 28¢ $17 $12 −$5 (-29%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Down 51¢ 48¢ $11 $11 −$1 (-6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 42¢ 3¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-93%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$8 +9315%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +8124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$52 +46682%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$13 +8759%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$49 +17215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$31 +10308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$95 +110458%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +10609%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$30 +107798%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$134 -44085%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$52 +28706%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$290 +195147%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$16 +6493%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$40 +25136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$240 +389742%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +1727%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$30 -5552%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$35 +11497%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$200 +252301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$14 +3774%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$46 +46051%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +2670%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$10 +7902%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$293 +271688%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$17 +37197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +898%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +3929%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$12 +6347%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 11PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$111 +58965%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$44 +99798%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1951%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$133 +238886%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$20 +8676%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$17 +66120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$42 +17862%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +235%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$11 +3582%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +2573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$52 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$88 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$36 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $256 +$5 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $275 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $146 −$18 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$141
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+455.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 +513.7% +455.3% 61% 38% -9.8%
≤30d 135 +513.7% +455.3% 61% 38% -9.8%
≤90d 135 +513.7% +455.3% 61% 38% -9.8%
all 135 +513.7% +455.3% 61% 38% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3371.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +455.3% 38% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here +402.1% 34% -18.4%
15% +353.6% 30% -26.3%
20% +309.2% 28% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.04 · official $24.99 · 3500 history records