trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +26.3% | +14.3% | 33% | 33% | +47.2% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +50.5% | +36.2% | 50% | 50% | +58.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +13.3% | +2.5% | 42% | 42% | +36.6% |
| all | 12 | +13.3% | +2.5% | 42% | 42% | +36.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.5% | 42% | +36.6% |
| 10% | -7.3% | 42% | +23.6% |
| 15% | -16.2% | 42% | +11.6% |
| 20% | -24.4% | 42% | +0.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 34¢ | 32¢ | $100 | $92 | −$8 (-8%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $100 | $92 | −$8 (-8%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $50 | $61 | +$11 (+22%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 10¢ | $30 | $16 | −$14 (-48%) |
| Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-19%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 17 | $26 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $31 | +$80 | +261% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $104 | +$211 | +204% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $51 | +$67 | +131% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $10 | +$11 | +115% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $10 | +$6 | +56% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 02 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? | May 02 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |