trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -9.5% | -18.1% | 33% | 33% | -21.9% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +7.4% | -2.9% | 38% | 38% | -13.7% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +7.4% | -2.9% | 38% | 38% | -13.7% |
| all | 22 | -17.2% | -25.1% | 32% | 27% | -28.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.1% | 27% | -28.0% |
| 10% | -32.2% | 27% | -34.9% |
| 15% | -38.8% | 27% | -41.2% |
| 20% | -44.8% | 23% | -47.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $58 | +$30 | +52% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $14 | −$12 | -83% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $16 | −$16 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $60 | +$28 | +48% |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 21 | $170 | −$84 | -49% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $26 | +$53 | +206% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $62 | −$54 | -87% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $34 | +$61 | +180% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $37 | −$37 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $19 | +$56 | +291% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$21 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $58 | −$57 | -98% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian | May 31 | $21 | +$53 | +260% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | Jan 21 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Sep 25 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | Apr 22 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? | Apr 22 | $15 | −$6 | -39% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 22 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will the next Pope be Black? | Apr 22 | $61 | +$2 | +4% |