Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd50d…2557
crypto · 316 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$78 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$104 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$104
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses197 / 118
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)315 / 316
History coverage33d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day15.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 315 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$156
7 days−$99
14 days−$99
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +181%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$105
sports 12% +$71
weather 5% −$38
politics 3% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 293 -7.0% -15.8% 64% 59% -16.0%
≤30d 293 -7.0% -15.8% 64% 59% -16.0%
≤90d 315 -7.9% -16.7% 63% 58% -16.2%
all 315 -7.9% -16.7% 63% 58% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 58% -16.2%
10% -24.6% 18% -24.2%
15% -31.9% 14% -31.5%
20% -38.6% 13% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 708 history records