Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd506…d9f4
crypto · 50 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$33 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses22 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day89.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$90
7 days−$90
14 days−$90
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $20 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-27.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -19.5% -27.2% 44% 40% -36.2%
≤30d 50 -19.5% -27.2% 44% 40% -36.2%
≤90d 50 -19.5% -27.2% 44% 40% -36.2%
all 50 -19.5% -27.2% 44% 40% -36.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.2% 40% -36.2%
10% ← realistic here -34.2% 34% -42.3%
15% -40.5% 34% -47.8%
20% -46.4% 30% -53.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 100 history records