Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd4f9…84f7
crypto · 159 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,842 -66%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,842 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$5,842
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses54 / 303
Open positions1
Markets (closed)357 / 159
History coverage1d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day3429.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 357 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,842
7 days−$5,842
14 days−$5,842
30 days−$5,842
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 48¢ 26¢ $12 $7 −$5 (-45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 38¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+164%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+106%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 23¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+335%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 14¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+603%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 25¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+302%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+161%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+128%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+191%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 32¢ 74¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+130%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$29 -243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$23 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$5 -432%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $82 −$82 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$536
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $6 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-60.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 357 -56.2% -60.3% 15% 12% -59.0%
≤30d 357 -56.2% -60.3% 15% 12% -59.0%
≤90d 357 -56.2% -60.3% 15% 12% -59.0%
all 357 -56.2% -60.3% 15% 12% -59.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3429.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -60.3% 12% -59.0%
10% ← realistic here -64.1% 7% -62.9%
15% -67.6% 6% -66.5%
20% -70.8% 4% -69.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.00 · official $12.87 · 3500 history records