Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:29:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd4ee…e425
sports · 1799 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$890 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$824 · open −$67
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$824
Unrealized−$67
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses696 / 955
Est. fees paid−$554
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1651 / 1799
History coverage132d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day24.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 6 History 1651 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$73
7 days+$73
14 days+$1,142
30 days+$2,235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 37¢ 26¢ $20 $14 −$6 (-28%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5 Over 46¢ 24¢ $25 $13 −$12 (-49%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 167.5 Over 14¢ 28¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+96%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5 Over 47¢ 4¢ $25 $2 −$23 (-91%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Over 49¢ 2¢ $30 $2 −$28 (-95%)
Fagiano Okayama vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 3.5 Over 29¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5 Over 13¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Kataller Toyama vs. Albirex Niigata: O/U 3.5 Over 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2? Over 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Over 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? Over 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 60¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? Over 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 5.5 Over 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 Over 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5 Over 23¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Valorant: AGELITE vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1 AGELITE 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5 Over 26¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner Team Heretics 21¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $21 +$21 +99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$27 +89%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $29 +$26 +90%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $30 +$24 +80%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $80 −$60 -75%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $136 −$45 -33%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $18 −$18 -98%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers Jun 06 $30 +$34 +112%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $40 +$38 +95%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $20 −$20 -97%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $13 −$6 -46%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $15 +$18 +117%
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $25 +$33 +132%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $14 +$25 +171%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3? Jun 06 $36 −$35 -98%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? Jun 06 $16 −$16 -98%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Yokohama FC vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $34 −$33 -98%
SC Sagamihara vs. Roasso Kumamoto: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Tochigi City FC vs. Reilac Shiga: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs. Nara Club: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Yokohama FC vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $26 −$2 -7%
Fujieda MYFC vs. Ehime FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $11 −$11 -97%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $19 +$13 +68%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $18 −$18 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 06 $59 −$21 -35%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 159.5 Jun 06 $25 −$25 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $51 +$54 +107%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $77 +$33 +42%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $51 +$27 +53%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $27 −$19 -69%
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $49 −$40 -82%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $213 −$71 -33%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $116 −$30 -26%
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $25 +$4 +17%
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $17 −$8 -46%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $79 −$64 -81%
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $20 +$51 +252%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $41 +$29 +71%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $0 $0 -100%
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $35 −$34 -98%
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $24 −$23 -98%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $32 +$16 +50%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2? Jun 05 $37 +$31 +84%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $9 −$9 -98%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $32 +$26 +81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$922
other 10% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5 BUY Over 44¢ $31 18m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $20 32m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 167.5 BUY Over 14¢ $3 32m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 46¢ $25 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5 BUY Over 47¢ $25 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Over 49¢ $30 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 28¢ $12 33h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 14¢ $6 34h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 14¢ $2 34h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 14¢ $1 34h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 29¢ $21 34h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz SELL KT Wiz 99¢ $42 37h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 49¢ $21 37h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 15¢ $10 37h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $25 38h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $25 39h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $58 39h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $30 40h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? SELL Over 99¢ $55 40h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? BUY Over 51¢ $29 42h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 9¢ $5 46h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 9¢ $0 46h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5 SELL Over 97¢ $55 46h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5 BUY Over 53¢ $30 47h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 48¢ $31 2d
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 24¢ $12 2d
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 24¢ $2 2d
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 33¢ $13 2d
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 55¢ $3 2d
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 68¢ $36 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +51.8% +37.3% 80% 80% +39.5%
≤30d 358 +34.7% +21.9% 49% 49% +10.0%
≤90d 1169 +4.5% -5.5% 41% 41% -10.3%
all 1651 +2.4% -7.3% 42% 42% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 42% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 42% -19.6%
15% -24.3% 41% -27.4%
20% -31.7% 39% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.68 · official $76.44 · 3329 history records