Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd497…cf2d
politics · 46 markets active 53d ago
0.0score
+$306 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$306 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$306
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses11 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage115d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day30.1
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 21 $10 $0 -0%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 19 $15 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o Apr 18 $2 $0 +0%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 18 $10 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma Mar 28 $57 +$27 +48%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March Mar 17 $75 +$75 +100%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March Mar 17 $43 +$43 +100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23? Feb 21 $100 −$1 -1%
Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary elect Feb 20 $150 $0 +0%
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? Feb 20 $40 −$2 -4%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Februa Feb 11 $149 $0 -0%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Feb 11 $30 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru Feb 10 $270 $0 -0%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Feb 10 $50 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Jan 31 $118 +$19 +16%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 22 $50 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 22 $40 $0 +0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 20 $25 $0 +0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 16 $100 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 16 $135 +$5 +4%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 13 $30 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 13 $25 $0 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 13 $140 +$85 +61%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 13 $45 $0 +0%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 12 $85 $0 +0%
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? Jan 12 $9 $0 +4%
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Jan 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 11 $20 $0 +0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 11 $20 $0 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 11 $20 $0 +2%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 10 $120 $0 +0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 10 $69 $0 +0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jan 09 $40 +$25 +63%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Januar Jan 09 $35 +$11 +32%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ja Jan 09 $20 +$17 +84%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 09 $20 $0 +0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Jan 08 $10 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua Jan 07 $25 $0 -0%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Jan 07 $9 $0 -0%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Jan 07 $0 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 05 $154 $0 +0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 04 $80 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 04 $25 $0 +0%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Jan 03 $15 $0 -0%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Jan 03 $10 $0 -0%
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Jan 03 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 54% +$91
tech 19% +$99
other 18% +$98
economics 5% +$19
finance 4% −$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 52d
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 52d
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 52d
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 52d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $15 53d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)+0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 7 +35.4% +22.5% 43% 43% +52.5%
all 46 +11.0% +0.5% 24% 17% +1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.5% 17% +1.5%
10% ← realistic here -9.2% 15% -8.2%
15% -17.9% 13% -17.1%
20% -26.0% 11% -25.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records