Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:08:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd47d…1f6f
crypto · 614 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$398 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$398 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$398
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses572 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)642 / 614
History coverage9d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day317.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 642 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$370
7 days−$376
14 days−$398
30 days−$398
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 442 -7.8% -16.6% 89% 1% -19.9%
≤30d 642 -5.6% -14.6% 89% 5% -15.6%
≤90d 642 -5.6% -14.6% 89% 5% -15.6%
all 642 -5.6% -14.6% 89% 5% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover317.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 5% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 1% -23.7%
15% -30.2% 0% -31.1%
20% -37.1% 0% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records