trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 45% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 45% | 0% | -8.6% |
| all | 20 | +6.7% | -3.4% | 65% | 5% | -7.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.4% | 5% | -7.5% |
| 10% | -12.7% | 5% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -21.1% | 5% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -28.9% | 5% | -31.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 24 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $70 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 31 | $68 | +$1 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 30 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 29 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $32 | +$3 | +8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 28 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 28 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Apr 17 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Drexel vs. Delaware | Mar 20 | $6 | +$6 | +108% |