trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +83.7% | +66.2% | 25% | 25% | +360.9% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +58.9% | +43.8% | 30% | 30% | +221.8% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +58.9% | +43.8% | 30% | 30% | +221.8% |
| all | 10 | +58.9% | +43.8% | 30% | 30% | +221.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +43.8% | 30% | +221.8% |
| 10% | +30.0% | 20% | +191.0% |
| 15% | +17.4% | 20% | +162.9% |
| 20% | +5.9% | 20% | +137.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $457 | $487 | +$30 (+7%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $90 | $90 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 24¢ | $25 | $44 | +$19 (+76%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-19%) |
| Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 29¢ | $10 | $15 | +$5 (+53%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$8 | -83% |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$9 | -92% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $103 | +$1,008 | +982% |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Jun 15 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$54 | +262% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 07 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | Jun 03 | $25 | +$5 | +19% |