trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +74.6% | +57.9% | 100% | 100% | +26.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +38.6% | +25.4% | 80% | 80% | -3.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +38.6% | +25.4% | 80% | 80% | -3.0% |
| all | 20 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 55% | 55% | -38.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.4% | 55% | -38.6% |
| 10% | -27.1% | 50% | -44.5% |
| 15% | -34.1% | 35% | -49.8% |
| 20% | -40.6% | 25% | -54.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | Jun 29 | $33 | +$42 | +128% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | Jun 28 | $150 | +$31 | +21% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $131 | −$129 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $75 | +$56 | +74% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $44 | +$31 | +70% |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 | Jan 27 | $30 | +$13 | +43% |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | Dec 19 | $553 | −$553 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | Dec 18 | $457 | −$457 | -100% |
| Real Madrid vs. Paris Basketball | Dec 18 | $369 | +$86 | +23% |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves | Dec 18 | $127 | −$127 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | Dec 18 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flames | Dec 18 | $256 | +$61 | +24% |
| Monaco vs. FC Bayern Munchen | Dec 17 | $32 | −$30 | -96% |
| Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes | Dec 17 | $49 | +$71 | +144% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Dec 17 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Holy Cross Crusaders | Dec 17 | $60 | +$45 | +76% |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. KK Crvena Zvezda | Dec 16 | $210 | +$59 | +28% |
| Paris Basketball vs. Barcelona | Dec 16 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Dec 16 | $278 | +$132 | +47% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Dec 15 | $275 | −$275 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | SELL Brazil | 100¢ | $75 | 1h |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY Brazil | 43¢ | $33 | 2h |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | SELL No | 100¢ | $181 | 23h |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | BUY No | 83¢ | $125 | 24h |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | BUY No | 79¢ | $25 | 25h |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | BUY Yes | 49¢ | $131 | 9d |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | SELL Brazil | 92¢ | $131 | 9d |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | BUY Brazil | 52¢ | $75 | 9d |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $76 | 9d |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY Yes | 58¢ | $44 | 9d |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 48¢ | $43 | 192d |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 51¢ | $510 | 192d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY Hawks | 63¢ | $33 | 192d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY Hawks | 63¢ | $63 | 192d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY Hawks | 63¢ | $34 | 192d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY Hawks | 63¢ | $11 | 192d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY Hawks | 63¢ | $23 | 192d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY Hawks | 63¢ | $26 | 192d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY Hawks | 63¢ | $267 | 192d |
| Real Madrid vs. Paris Basketball | SELL Real Madrid | 100¢ | $455 | 192d |
| Real Madrid vs. Paris Basketball | BUY Real Madrid | 81¢ | $267 | 193d |
| Real Madrid vs. Paris Basketball | BUY Real Madrid | 81¢ | $20 | 193d |
| Real Madrid vs. Paris Basketball | BUY Real Madrid | 81¢ | $81 | 193d |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves | BUY Timberwolves | 85¢ | $127 | 193d |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | BUY Cavaliers | 69¢ | $31 | 193d |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 | BUY Under | 70¢ | $30 | 193d |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flames | SELL Northern Iowa Panthers | 100¢ | $316 | 193d |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flames | BUY Northern Iowa Panthers | 86¢ | $6 | 193d |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flames | BUY Northern Iowa Panthers | 82¢ | $6 | 193d |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flames | BUY Northern Iowa Panthers | 83¢ | $12 | 193d |