Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd462…56df
crypto · 27 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses21 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +3.6% -6.2% 78% 67% -10.5%
≤30d 27 +3.6% -6.2% 78% 67% -10.5%
≤90d 27 +3.6% -6.2% 78% 67% -10.5%
all 27 +3.6% -6.2% 78% 67% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 67% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.2% 33% -19.0%
15% -23.4% 7% -26.9%
20% -30.9% 7% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 57 history records