Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:20:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd44e…72d9
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$284 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$284 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$284
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage2d
Avg bet$186
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$284
7 days+$284
14 days+$284
30 days+$284
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $203 +$222 +109%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $102 −$99 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $203 −$200 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $204 +$322 +158%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $102 −$87 -85%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $303 +$125 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 82% +$469
sports 18% −$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $425 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $203 14h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $102 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $203 14h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $526 24h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 6¢ $15 24h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 39¢ $102 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $204 27h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $428 29h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $303 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +4.4% -5.5% 50% 50% +13.5%
≤30d 6 +4.4% -5.5% 50% 50% +13.5%
≤90d 6 +4.4% -5.5% 50% 50% +13.5%
all 6 +4.4% -5.5% 50% 50% +13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.5% 50% +13.5%
10% -14.6% 50% +2.7%
15% -22.8% 50% -7.3%
20% -30.4% 33% -16.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 11 history records