Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:48:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd420…d1f8
crypto · 2276 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$52 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$563 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$563
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1077 / 549
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1626 / 2276
History coverage9d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day262.5
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1626 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days+$382
14 days+$563
30 days+$563
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 52¢ 91¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 13¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-73%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$730
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)+19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1331 +27.0% +14.9% 66% 65% +15.0%
≤30d 1626 +32.4% +19.7% 66% 66% +19.7%
≤90d 1626 +32.4% +19.7% 66% 66% +19.7%
all 1626 +32.4% +19.7% 66% 66% +19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover262.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.7% 66% +19.7%
10% ← realistic here +8.3% 64% +8.2%
15% -2.2% 53% -2.2%
20% -11.8% 44% -11.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.29 · official $2.43 (match) · 3500 history records