Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:22:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd3f3…03dc
crypto · 243 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$381 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$381 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$381
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses131 / 110
Est. fees paid−$50
Open positions1
Markets (closed)241 / 243
History coverage12d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day55.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43
7 days−$479
14 days−$381
30 days−$381
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Durham 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $16 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $453 +$13 +3%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $420 +$33 +8%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +64%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 09 $98 −$12 -12%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 09 $20 +$7 +33%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Jun 09 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$2 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 08 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $422 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 07 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 53% −$437
crypto 46% +$56
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 25¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 12m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 24¢ $12 25m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 24¢ $2 25m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 24¢ $1 26m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 24¢ $2 27m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 17¢ $16 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-1 BUY 55¢ $51 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL Australia 100¢ $467 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY Australia 97¢ $453 4h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 90¢ $251 5h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 90¢ $202 5h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 83¢ $420 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland SELL Ireland 1¢ $0 8h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Ireland 21¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 11h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL Thailand 90¢ $28 12h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY Thailand 80¢ $25 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -9.7% -18.3% 60% 34% -17.8%
≤30d 241 -8.1% -16.9% 54% 33% -14.0%
≤90d 241 -8.1% -16.9% 54% 33% -14.0%
all 241 -8.1% -16.9% 54% 33% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 33% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 22% -22.2%
15% -32.1% 17% -29.7%
20% -38.7% 14% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.50 · official $50.50 · 763 history records