trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 50% | 0% | -7.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 33% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 33% | 0% | -8.4% |
| all | 28 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 25% | 0% | -15.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.5% | 0% | -15.6% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 0% | -23.6% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 0% | -31.0% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 0% | -37.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $42 | +$2 | +6% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $40 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 27 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 25 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 19 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Sep 08 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open? | Sep 02 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Sep 02 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Aug 29 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open? | Aug 29 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025? | Aug 28 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Aug 27 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $340 in August? | Aug 26 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election? | Aug 26 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Aug 26 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamen | Aug 25 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Aug 25 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Aug 24 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Aug 23 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Xi Jinping out before October? | Aug 23 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Aug 23 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum above $4500 on August 22? | Aug 23 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Aug 22 | $5 | $0 | +0% |