Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:00:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd3d4…59db
crypto · 1338 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,848 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$669 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$669
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses711 / 627
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1338 / 1338
History coverage57d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day32.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1338 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$437
7 days−$428
14 days−$375
30 days−$466
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $116 +$31 +27%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $89 +$5 +6%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $61 +$31 +51%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $44 +$18 +40%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $41 +$3 +8%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $105 −$64 -61%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $150 −$147 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $46 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$7 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$7 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $196 −$29 -15%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $130 +$70 +54%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $76 +$22 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$9 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$4 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 05 $34 −$2 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$441
other 4% −$265
sports 2% +$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 99¢ $54 32m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 92¢ $50 36m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 94¢ $93 41m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 66¢ $14 47m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 66¢ $19 47m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 66¢ $33 47m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $95 47m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $85 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 99¢ $93 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $2 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 66¢ $59 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 30¢ $29 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 30¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 30¢ $30 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 21¢ $44 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 99¢ $44 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 92¢ $6 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 92¢ $35 2h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 7¢ $41 2h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $105 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL No 1¢ $3 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 26¢ $51 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 65¢ $2 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 75¢ $9 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 75¢ $31 5h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 75¢ $58 5h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 10¢ $46 5h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 25¢ $12 7h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 25¢ $50 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -43.9% -49.2% 29% 22% -33.3%
≤30d 543 -8.4% -17.1% 59% 9% -13.9%
≤90d 1338 -9.0% -17.7% 53% 7% -13.2%
all 1338 -9.0% -17.7% 53% 7% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 7% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 5% -21.5%
15% -32.7% 3% -29.1%
20% -39.3% 2% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records