Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd3cd…f612
crypto · 52 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$39 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses12 / 40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$39
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +158%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -37%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -68%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -51%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -65%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -32%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -46%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -40%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 30 $2 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -30%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -33%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -27%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 30 $2 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 30 $2 +$1 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 30 $2 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 30 $2 +$2 +83%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 30 $2 +$3 +134%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -94%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -40%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -31%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -96%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -58%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 30 $2 $0 -3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 30 $2 +$2 +94%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -33%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 30 $2 +$1 +32%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 30 $2 $0 +21%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 30 $2 $0 +12%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 30 $2 $0 -14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$30
other 34% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 12d
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 12d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 12d
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 12d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 12d
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 12d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 12d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 12d
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 12d
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 12d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 12d
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 12d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 12d
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 12d
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 12d
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 12d
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 12d
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-42.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -67.7% -70.8% 17% 17% -69.9%
≤30d 52 -36.8% -42.8% 23% 21% -42.3%
≤90d 52 -36.8% -42.8% 23% 21% -42.3%
all 52 -36.8% -42.8% 23% 21% -42.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -42.8% 21% -42.3%
10% -48.3% 17% -47.8%
15% -53.3% 12% -52.8%
20% -57.9% 12% -57.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 88 history records