Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd3c5…2a23
other · 6 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage3d
Avg bet$269
Trades / day60.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Alec Pierce be traded? Jun 12 $1,214 −$1 -0%
Will Germán Berterame win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $183 $0 -0%
Will Albert Rusnák win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $167 $0 +0%
Will Tadeo Allende win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will Prince-Osei Owusu win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $31 $0 +0%
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 3m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 4m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 4m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 4m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 4m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 4m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 5m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 5m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 5m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 5m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 7m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 7m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 6 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 6 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 6 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 205 history records