Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:12:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd3ba…e793
other · 168 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$16,027 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16,027 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$16,027
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses128 / 40
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$261
Open positions0
Markets (closed)168 / 168
History coverage38d
Avg bet$1,003
Trades / day90.4
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit28%
Chart Positions 0 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$949
7 days+$1,184
14 days+$1,184
30 days+$10,838
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-12? Yes 61¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6,129 +$111 +2%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $958 +$23 +2%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2,526 +$849 +34%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,433 −$337 -24%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $0 $0 +25%
Will AC Goianiense vs. CR Brasil end in a draw? Jun 12 $33 +$2 +7%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $213 +$2 +1%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3,003 −$164 -6%
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 $0 -5%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $8,169 +$431 +5%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2,500 +$33 +1%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $4,134 +$80 +2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,986 +$63 +3%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1,135 −$55 -5%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $393 +$2 +0%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $796 +$37 +5%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $533 +$1 +0%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $263 −$8 -3%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $600 +$10 +2%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4,102 +$134 +3%
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Jun 09 $300 +$6 +2%
Will Sweden vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 09 $110 +$6 +5%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1,810 −$92 -5%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1,498 +$7 +0%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $930 +$36 +4%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $122 +$9 +7%
Will El Gouna SC vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC end in a draw? May 23 $534 +$43 +8%
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-05-22? May 23 $2,105 +$222 +11%
Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-22? May 22 $77 +$2 +2%
Will National Bank of Egypt Club win on 2026-05-22? May 22 $15 $0 -0%
Will Pharco FC vs. National Bank of Egypt Club end in a draw? May 22 $5 −$1 -10%
Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-22? May 22 $2,330 +$309 +13%
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? May 21 $1,208 +$16 +1%
Will FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw? May 21 $1,049 +$29 +3%
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? May 21 $15 +$2 +10%
Will El Masry SC vs. El Ahly SC end in a draw? May 21 $2,091 +$289 +14%
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-21? May 21 $615 +$92 +15%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? May 21 $13 +$1 +8%
Will ZED FC win on 2026-05-21? May 21 $2,693 +$114 +4%
Will Wadi Degla SC vs. ZED FC end in a draw? May 21 $2,993 +$136 +5%
Will Wadi Degla SC win on 2026-05-21? May 21 $34 $0 +0%
Will Hannover 96 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw? May 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07? May 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? May 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15? May 20 $206 −$23 -11%
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20? May 20 $789 −$15 -2%
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11? May 20 $417 +$104 +25%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? May 20 $1,431 +$108 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 83% +$9,827
sports 17% +$6,199
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 53¢ $28 32m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 53¢ $1 32m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 53¢ $264 32m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 53¢ $697 32m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $11 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $27 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $83 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $21 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $11 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $45 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $6 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $108 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $17 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $16 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $11 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $15 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $54 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $27 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $21 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $23 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $5 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 54¢ $506 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 55¢ $363 35m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 55¢ $3 35m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 55¢ $15 35m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 55¢ $138 35m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $442 36m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $5 36m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $37 36m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $6 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -0.4% -9.9% 71% 7% -7.1%
≤30d 103 +2.3% -7.4% 75% 16% -1.2%
≤90d 168 +5.5% -4.6% 76% 20% -0.9%
all 168 +5.5% -4.6% 76% 20% -0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover90.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.6% 20% -0.9%
10% -13.7% 8% -10.4%
15% ← realistic here -22.0% 4% -19.1%
20% -29.7% 3% -27.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records