Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:04:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd3b4…30a6
sports · 1573 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$513 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$510 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$510
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses968 / 599
Est. fees paid−$53
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1567 / 1573
History coverage63d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day54.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 6 History 1567 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$66
14 days−$109
30 days−$182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-12? Yes 83¢ 84¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? No 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Jonathan David: 1+ goals No 70¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+31%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+26%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-12? No 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Darja Vidmanova 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Katarzyna Kawa 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry Madison Keys 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Dali Blanch 80¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-12? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? No 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $15 $0 -3%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $5 −$2 -43%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $5 −$2 -41%
South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $5 −$2 -46%
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Jovic/Kessler vs Dabrowski/Stefani Jun 11 $5 −$3 -58%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $10 +$2 +24%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $10 −$2 -17%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $5 −$1 -16%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -47%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 $0 -7%
England leading at halftime? Jun 10 $5 +$2 +48%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 +$2 +30%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 +$2 +34%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $5 −$2 -42%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $5 −$2 -41%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $5 +$1 +13%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $10 +$3 +27%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $10 +$2 +23%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $10 −$1 -8%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Chris Rodesch Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$238
other 33% −$246
crypto 1% −$16
world 1% −$14
politics 0% +$4
tech 0% +$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 83¢ $5 5m
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $5 56m
Jonathan David: 1+ goals BUY No 70¢ $5 1h
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $6 1h
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 42¢ $3 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 92¢ $5 2h
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 89¢ $5 2h
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini SELL Darja Vidmanova 98¢ $5 3h
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Darja Vidmanova 95¢ $5 3h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 82¢ $5 3h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger SELL Ashlyn Krueger 77¢ $5 3h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 100¢ $6 3h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 99¢ $5 3h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette SELL Magda Linette 98¢ $5 3h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 94¢ $5 4h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 94¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Mark Lajal 49¢ $3 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus SELL Tatiana Prozorova 99¢ $5 4h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 76¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 83¢ $5 5h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 95¢ $5 5h
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana SELL Mary Stoiana 100¢ $6 5h
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? BUY No 68¢ $5 5h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 53¢ $3 5h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa SELL Katarzyna Kawa 99¢ $5 6h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Nuno Borges 73¢ $4 6h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 95¢ $5 6h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 95¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 +38.2% +25.0% 51% 41% -16.2%
≤30d 542 +6.7% -3.5% 58% 29% -14.4%
≤90d 1567 -1.3% -10.7% 62% 38% -14.7%
all 1567 -1.3% -10.7% 62% 38% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 38% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 14% -22.9%
15% -27.1% 2% -30.3%
20% -34.2% 1% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.83 · official $24.75 · 3500 history records