Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:14:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd3b0…329e
sports · 162 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$270,168 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$252,361 · open −$18,835
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$115
Realized−$252,361
Unrealized−$18,835
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses98 / 62
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$30,996
Open positions3
Markets (closed)160 / 162
History coverage15d
Avg bet$17,604
Trades / day225.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 160 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$583,907
7 days−$408,485
14 days−$292,594
30 days−$252,361
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 68¢ 0¢ $13,600 $100 −$13,500 (-99%)
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026? Yes 62¢ 10¢ $63 $10 −$53 (-85%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 47¢ 0¢ $5,288 $6 −$5,282 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $6,032 −$6,032 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5,788 −$5,788 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5,689 −$5,689 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2,663 −$2,663 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $6,170 −$6,170 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $101,590 −$101,590 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $215,942 −$215,942 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $78,498 −$78,498 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $7,005 +$2,938 +42%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $3,116 +$4,634 +149%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $5,821 +$1,599 +28%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,196 +$3,054 +255%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $12,630 +$5,319 +42%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $11,985 +$3,015 +25%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $13,008 +$4,760 +37%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $7,000 +$3,781 +54%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $102,023 +$31,809 +31%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $55,768 +$6,982 +12%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,378 −$1,378 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,109 −$2,109 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $4,018 −$4,018 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4,650 −$4,650 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $7,612 −$7,612 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $6,071 −$6,071 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $532 −$532 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $12,742 −$12,742 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $12,623 −$12,623 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $33,880 −$33,880 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $43,257 −$43,257 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $51,968 −$51,968 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $258,504 −$258,504 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $231,161 +$166,468 +72%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $26,746 +$27,234 +102%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $14,419 +$10,580 +73%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5,777 +$5,637 +98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,762 −$3,762 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12,717 −$12,717 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $11,167 −$11,167 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $11,278 +$4,434 +39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $8,430 +$4,220 +50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,207 +$6,043 +188%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,808 +$3,473 +124%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5,740 +$5,760 +100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $13,030 +$12,720 +98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,801 +$2,263 +60%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $2,406 +$1,512 +63%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $1,056 +$225 +21%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $3,068 +$1,388 +45%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,714 +$381 +22%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $4,411 +$3,524 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$271,143
other 0% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $3,599 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $7,012 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $2 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $1,594 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $3 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $7 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $170 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $10 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $425 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $11 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $680 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $21 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $2 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $64 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $5,372 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 71¢ $5 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 71¢ $288 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 71¢ $1,136 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 71¢ $7 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 71¢ $3 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 71¢ $14 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 71¢ $37 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 71¢ $2,614 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 69¢ $8 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 69¢ $2 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 69¢ $2,890 10h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 41¢ $611 13h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 41¢ $4 13h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 40¢ $370 13h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 40¢ $13 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +1.1% -8.5% 59% 59% -29.1%
≤30d 160 +6.0% -4.1% 61% 61% -17.6%
≤90d 160 +6.0% -4.1% 61% 61% -17.6%
all 160 +6.0% -4.1% 61% 61% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover225.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 61% -17.6%
10% -13.2% 58% -25.5%
15% ← realistic here -21.6% 50% -32.7%
20% -29.3% 35% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $115.26 · official $115.26 (match) · 3500 history records