trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 50% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +3.4% | -6.5% | 50% | 17% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +3.4% | -6.5% | 50% | 17% | -9.1% |
| all | 21 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 62% | 14% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 14% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 5% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 5% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $43 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 27 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $44 | −$1 | -2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 26 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $44 | +$1 | +2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 25 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 24 | $9 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 24 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $45 | −$3 | -6% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 23 | $8 | +$3 | +38% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 16 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 28 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Morehead State vs. Lindenwood | Mar 07 | $13 | −$3 | -23% |
| Kraken vs. Predators | Mar 05 | $10 | $0 | +0% |