| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30? |
Jun 12 |
$240 |
−$240 |
-100% |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? |
Jun 12 |
$332 |
−$260 |
-78% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 betw |
Jun 12 |
$216 |
−$187 |
-87% |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July? |
Jun 12 |
$56 |
−$56 |
-100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? |
Jun 02 |
$6,745 |
+$75 |
+1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Jun 02 |
$3,402 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? |
Jun 02 |
$135 |
+$365 |
+270% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? |
Jun 02 |
$568 |
+$232 |
+41% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? |
Jun 02 |
$1,680 |
+$320 |
+19% |
| Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? |
May 18 |
$106 |
−$104 |
-98% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? |
May 18 |
$299 |
−$295 |
-99% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? |
Jan 08 |
$180 |
+$20 |
+11% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
Jan 08 |
$102 |
+$98 |
+96% |
| Maduro out in 2025? |
Jan 08 |
$320 |
+$80 |
+25% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? |
Jan 08 |
$494 |
+$6 |
+1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? |
Jan 08 |
$1,003 |
+$18 |
+2% |
| Texans vs. Chiefs |
Dec 02 |
$320 |
−$320 |
-100% |
| US government shutdown in 2025? |
Dec 02 |
$2,008 |
+$5,167 |
+257% |
| Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed? |
Jul 23 |
$742 |
+$9,185 |
+1238% |
| Will Nancy Pelosi retire before July? |
Jul 23 |
$177 |
+$24 |
+14% |
| Will Tim Walz announce Senate run before July? |
Jul 23 |
$332 |
+$172 |
+52% |
| Will Mitch McConnell retire before July? |
Jul 23 |
$760 |
+$240 |
+32% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder |
Jun 26 |
$2,600 |
−$2,600 |
-100% |
| Which conference wins NBA Finals? |
Jun 26 |
$141 |
+$141 |
+100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference? |
Jun 26 |
$575 |
+$9,483 |
+1650% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? |
Jun 26 |
$2,260 |
+$33,733 |
+1492% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025? |
Jun 21 |
$231 |
+$77 |
+33% |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? |
May 28 |
$6,798 |
+$5,426 |
+80% |
| Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on Februar |
May 28 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens? |
May 28 |
$21 |
−$21 |
-100% |
| Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government? |
May 28 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win more than 34% of the vote in the German election? |
May 28 |
$6 |
−$6 |
-100% |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? |
May 28 |
$42 |
−$42 |
-100% |
| Will the Greens be part of the next German government? |
May 28 |
$1,435 |
−$348 |
-24% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 32% and 34% of the vote in the German ele |
May 28 |
$111 |
−$111 |
-100% |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government? |
May 28 |
$22 |
−$22 |
-100% |
| Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days? |
May 28 |
$122 |
−$122 |
-100% |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? |
May 28 |
$4,081 |
+$1,192 |
+29% |
| Will Trump sanction Russia before March? |
May 28 |
$280 |
−$280 |
-100% |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government? |
May 28 |
$432 |
−$432 |
-100% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days? |
May 28 |
$5 |
−$5 |
-100% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 30% and 32% of the vote in the German ele |
May 28 |
$47 |
−$47 |
-100% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 10-12%? |
May 28 |
$150 |
−$150 |
-100% |
| Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election? |
May 28 |
$3,192 |
+$146 |
+5% |
| Trump negative approval before March? |
May 28 |
$3,840 |
−$3,388 |
-88% |
| Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election? |
May 28 |
$135 |
−$135 |
-100% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? |
May 28 |
$9,720 |
−$9,720 |
-100% |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? |
May 28 |
$10,800 |
−$10,800 |
-100% |
| Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? |
May 28 |
$830 |
+$137 |
+16% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? |
May 28 |
$6,938 |
+$7,393 |
+107% |