Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:02:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd38e…7edc
crypto · 34 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses9 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day113.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +201%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-43.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -37.1% -43.1% 26% 21% -34.8%
≤30d 34 -37.1% -43.1% 26% 21% -34.8%
≤90d 34 -37.1% -43.1% 26% 21% -34.8%
all 34 -37.1% -43.1% 26% 21% -34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover113.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.1% 21% -34.8%
10% ← realistic here -48.5% 15% -41.0%
15% -53.5% 15% -46.7%
20% -58.1% 12% -51.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 113 history records