Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T00:49:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
D3 0xd387…9c13 crypto 857 markets active 0h ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (74 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$55 (+1%) realized +$55 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate86%733W / 124L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day74.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$2
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (74 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 463 +0.7% -8.9% 86% 59% -9.5%
≤30d 857 +0.6% -9.0% 86% 51% -9.3%
≤90d 857 +0.6% -9.0% 86% 51% -9.3%
all 857 +0.6% -9.0% 86% 51% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover74.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 51% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 21% -17.9%
15% -25.7% 1% -25.9%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses733 / 124
Open positions0
Markets (closed)857 / 857
History coverage13d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day74.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 857 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $7 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1725 history records