Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:18:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd385…34fb
sports · 86 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$411 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$346 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$80
Realized+$346
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses44 / 41
Est. fees paid−$104
Open positions1
Markets (closed)85 / 86
History coverage22d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$782
7 days−$1,004
14 days+$438
30 days+$346
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Noir Verse 38¢ 42¢ $72 $80 +$8 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs OG 43¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 4.5 Over 4.5 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 62¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 25¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 39¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 47¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage Heretics 24¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Saigon Dino 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage RUSTEC 43¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C G2 NORD 37¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score No 44¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier Tundra Esports 34¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage Wildcard Gaming 63¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 39¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 36¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $34 −$33 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $160 −$159 -100%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $219 −$217 -99%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $163 −$160 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $214 −$212 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $86 −$84 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $120 −$118 -98%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ Jun 10 $82 −$82 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $119 −$116 -98%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $20 −$1 -6%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $28 −$28 -99%
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League S Jun 09 $67 −$66 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth Jun 09 $17 +$7 +42%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 09 $139 −$138 -99%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $371 +$32 +9%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $375 −$97 -26%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $154 −$10 -6%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $418 +$306 +73%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 07 $507 +$173 +34%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $407 +$195 +48%
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $433 +$189 +44%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score Jun 04 $11 +$12 +105%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $249 +$206 +83%
Matteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 4.5 Jun 03 $2 +$2 +75%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $212 +$176 +83%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 03 $155 +$61 +40%
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 03 $275 +$115 +42%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $120 +$95 +79%
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 4.5 Jun 02 $2 −$2 -98%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Ameri Jun 02 $249 +$197 +79%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs eSuba (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage Jun 01 $33 +$92 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -95%
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoff Jun 01 $50 +$98 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 31 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$419
other 4% −$77
crypto 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $2 47m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $2 47m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $2 47m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $3 47m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $1 47m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $4 47m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $1 53m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 38¢ $17 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 25¢ $34 16h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 37¢ $35 18h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 37¢ $59 19h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 37¢ $13 20h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 37¢ $4 20h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 37¢ $1 23h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 37¢ $17 25h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 37¢ $31 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -56.9% -61.0% 21% 16% -37.2%
≤30d 85 +6.1% -4.0% 52% 51% -5.4%
≤90d 85 +6.1% -4.0% 52% 51% -5.4%
all 85 +6.1% -4.0% 52% 51% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.0% 51% -5.4%
10% -13.2% 51% -14.4%
15% -21.6% 49% -22.7%
20% -29.3% 40% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $80.08 · official $80.08 (match) · 200 history records