Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:00:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd384…d4e0
crypto · 199 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$25 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses99 / 99
Open positions1
Markets (closed)198 / 199
History coverage18d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day27.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 47¢ 96¢ $7 $14 +$7 (+105%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$7 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$7 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -5.9% -14.8% 48% 48% -11.9%
≤30d 198 +0.3% -9.3% 50% 49% -9.9%
≤90d 198 +0.3% -9.3% 50% 49% -9.9%
all 198 +0.3% -9.3% 50% 49% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 49% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 48% -18.5%
15% -25.9% 44% -26.4%
20% -33.2% 38% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.51 · official $13.09 (match) · 610 history records