Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:09:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd383…e49d
crypto · 468 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$262 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$262 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$262
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses315 / 153
Open positions0
Markets (closed)468 / 468
History coverage9d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day167.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 468 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$186
14 days−$262
30 days−$262
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? No 22¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$10 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$9 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$25 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$8 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$11 +88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$151
other 2% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 425 -5.6% -14.6% 69% 49% -13.9%
≤30d 468 -6.2% -15.1% 67% 49% -14.7%
≤90d 468 -6.2% -15.1% 67% 49% -14.7%
all 468 -6.2% -15.1% 67% 49% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover167.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 49% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 27% -22.9%
15% -30.7% 14% -30.4%
20% -37.5% 8% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1809 history records