Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:07:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D3 0xd37e…c7cf crypto 77 markets active 0h ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 8d only
✗ bot/MM pace (419 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$2,496 (-22%) realized −$2,496 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -84% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -88% what you keep after slip
Net edge-88%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate4%25W / 550L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$146per market
Trades / day418.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,628
7 days−$2,949
14 days−$3,006
30 days−$3,006
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$497
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (419 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-85.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 553 -87.3% -88.5% 4% 2% -36.2%
≤30d 575 -83.7% -85.3% 4% 2% -28.9%
≤90d 575 -83.7% -85.3% 4% 2% -28.9%
all 575 -83.7% -85.3% 4% 2% -28.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover418.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -85.3% 2% -28.9%
10% ← realistic here -86.7% 2% -35.7%
15% -88.0% 1% -41.9%
20% -89.1% 1% -47.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 43% · top 2 53% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
52% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -84% · $-wt -22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -73% → late -94% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
44.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$6 · ×2.14 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.1 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,496
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses25 / 550
Open positions0
Markets (closed)575 / 77
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$146
Trades / day418.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 575 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$6 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$2 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records