trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 62% | 12% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 67% | 11% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 67% | 11% | -9.3% |
| all | 32 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 62% | 9% | -8.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.9% | 9% | -8.5% |
| 10% | -14.9% | 6% | -17.3% |
| 15% | -23.1% | 6% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -30.7% | 6% | -32.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $36 | $36 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $33 | −$1 | -4% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $9 | +$1 | +14% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 11 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30? | Dec 09 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 26 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31? | Jun 05 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? | May 06 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government? | Apr 20 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday? | Apr 10 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days? | Apr 06 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 30 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21? | Mar 22 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 20 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000.00 by March 31? | Mar 11 | $1 | +$1 | +116% |
| Will Elon tweet 700-724 times March 7-14? | Mar 10 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Oklahoma State vs. UCF | Mar 07 | $16 | −$1 | -5% |
| Stanford vs. Notre Dame | Mar 05 | $15 | −$1 | -6% |
| Kings vs. Nuggets | Mar 05 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Missouri vs. Oklahoma | Mar 05 | $33 | −$3 | -8% |
| sugaR vs. Jack.Poor | Mar 05 | $9 | +$9 | +100% |