Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd360…822a
crypto · 50 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$14 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses30 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$14
other 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -16.8% -24.7% 60% 16% -20.4%
≤30d 50 -16.8% -24.7% 60% 16% -20.4%
≤90d 50 -16.8% -24.7% 60% 16% -20.4%
all 50 -16.8% -24.7% 60% 16% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.7% 16% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -31.9% 10% -28.0%
15% -38.5% 8% -35.0%
20% -44.5% 2% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 99 history records