trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -51.0% | -55.7% | 27% | 20% | -32.1% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -51.0% | -55.7% | 27% | 20% | -32.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -51.0% | -55.7% | 27% | 20% | -32.1% |
| all | 15 | -51.0% | -55.7% | 27% | 20% | -32.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -55.7% | 20% | -32.1% |
| 10% | -59.9% | 7% | -38.6% |
| 15% | -63.8% | 7% | -44.5% |
| 20% | -67.3% | 0% | -49.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Jun 24 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will "GOAT" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19? | Jun 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $4 | +$1 | +18% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $4 | −$3 | -84% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 22 | $29 | +$3 | +11% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Jun 22 | $50 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 21 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 21 | $6 | +$3 | +44% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 20 | $17 | −$6 | -35% |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -67% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$2 | -48% |