Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:41:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd353…9ac2
weather · 639 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$894 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$894 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$894
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses529 / 110
Open positions0
Markets (closed)639 / 639
History coverage81d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day16.1
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 639 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$76
7 days−$50
14 days−$67
30 days+$139
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $51 −$25 -49%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 +$9 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $201 +$26 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $51 +$22 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $51 +$34 +67%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $200 +$4 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 11 $200 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 12? Jun 11 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11? Jun 10 $50 −$2 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 11? Jun 10 $50 −$1 -1%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 11? Jun 10 $202 +$35 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$4 -77%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 10? Jun 10 $35 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on June 10? Jun 10 $35 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 9? Jun 09 $15 $0 -3%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10? Jun 09 $200 −$124 -62%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 9? Jun 09 $51 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 9? Jun 09 $35 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 9? Jun 09 $35 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 9? Jun 09 $635 +$23 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9? Jun 09 $50 −$2 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 9? Jun 09 $51 −$2 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 9? Jun 09 $51 −$5 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 8? Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 8? Jun 08 $35 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 8? Jun 08 $35 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 9? Jun 08 $201 +$9 +5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9? Jun 08 $200 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 8? Jun 08 $5 +$4 +70%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 8? Jun 08 $35 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $50 −$17 -35%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8? Jun 08 $200 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 7? Jun 07 $55 +$6 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 7? Jun 07 $40 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 7? Jun 07 $35 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 7? Jun 07 $200 $0 -0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 8? Jun 07 $200 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 7? Jun 07 $200 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 7? Jun 07 $200 +$6 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 7? Jun 07 $50 +$5 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 7? Jun 07 $200 +$7 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 7? Jun 07 $50 +$3 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 7? Jun 07 $50 +$1 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 7? Jun 06 $30 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 7? Jun 06 $200 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$895
world 0% $0
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $53 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 40¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 38¢ $25 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $59 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 72¢ $51 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 84¢ $50 2h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $227 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 87¢ $201 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $73 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 68¢ $51 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $50 5h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $85 18h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 58¢ $51 18h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $51 20h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $50 21h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $202 26h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $200 26h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $204 27h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $200 27h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $201 35h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $200 35h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 37h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 38h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11? SELL No 93¢ $48 2d
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 11? SELL No 98¢ $50 2d
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $236 2d
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 11? BUY No 85¢ $202 2d
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $50 2d
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $50 2d
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10? SELL No 20¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -1.9% -11.2% 66% 12% -10.4%
≤30d 240 +2.4% -7.3% 74% 16% -8.9%
≤90d 639 +5.3% -4.8% 83% 15% -7.0%
all 639 +5.3% -4.8% 83% 15% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.8% 15% -7.0%
10% -13.9% 8% -15.9%
15% -22.2% 7% -24.0%
20% -29.8% 5% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1659 history records