Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:40:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd337…663e
sports · 3 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$6 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized+$9
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 67¢ 82¢ $19 $23 +$4 (+23%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 82¢ 38¢ $30 $14 −$16 (-54%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $39 +$9 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $19 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 82¢ $30 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $19 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $20 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +23.4% +11.7% 100% 100% +11.7%
≤30d 1 +23.4% +11.7% 100% 100% +11.7%
≤90d 1 +23.4% +11.7% 100% 100% +11.7%
all 1 +23.4% +11.7% 100% 100% +11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.7% 100% +11.7%
10% +1.0% 100% +1.0%
15% -8.8% 0% -8.8%
20% -17.7% 0% -17.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.66 · official $36.66 (match) · 5 history records