Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:29:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd32e…b577
sports · 31 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$121 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$121 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$121
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses25 / 6
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage1d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day70.4
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$121
7 days+$121
14 days+$121
30 days+$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Maxim Mrva 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Enrico Dalla Valle 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $21 −$3 -14%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $13 +$1 +5%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $67 +$6 +10%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $29 +$1 +3%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $127 −$14 -11%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $123 +$35 +29%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $60 +$2 +3%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $51 −$3 -7%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $61 −$1 -1%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $62 +$10 +16%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $42 +$4 +9%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $57 +$2 +4%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $28 +$1 +4%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $50 +$7 +13%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $50 +$6 +13%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $125 +$27 +22%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $99 $0 +0%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $40 +$5 +13%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $50 +$29 +57%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $122 $0 +0%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $33 +$6 +19%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $40 +$3 +8%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $40 −$1 -2%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$86
other 8% +$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 72¢ $9 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 68¢ $8 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 57¢ $15 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 75¢ $4 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 69¢ $21 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 66¢ $0 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Enrico Dalla Valle 70¢ $13 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 64¢ $12 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer SELL Tristan Boyer 43¢ $69 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 38¢ $63 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 26¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 22¢ $1 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer SELL Tristan Boyer 74¢ $4 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 63¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton SELL Harry Wendelken 89¢ $29 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 86¢ $29 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 24¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 16¢ $1 3h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel SELL Toby Samuel 36¢ $6 4h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 28¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel SELL Toby Samuel 56¢ $6 4h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 57¢ $6 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Elsa Jacquemot SELL Sofia Kenin 85¢ $3 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Elsa Jacquemot BUY Sofia Kenin 77¢ $2 5h
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt SELL Alex Bolt 47¢ $114 5h
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 51¢ $127 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 87¢ $72 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 75¢ $63 14h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 88¢ $61 15h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 85¢ $60 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +12.0% +1.3% 81% 35% -1.9%
≤30d 31 +12.0% +1.3% 81% 35% -1.9%
≤90d 31 +12.0% +1.3% 81% 35% -1.9%
all 31 +12.0% +1.3% 81% 35% -1.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.3% 35% -1.9%
10% ← realistic here -8.4% 16% -11.3%
15% -17.3% 13% -19.9%
20% -25.4% 6% -27.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 87 history records