Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:43:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd313…ca4a
crypto · 76 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,055 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,055 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,055
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses37 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)76 / 76
History coverage11d
Avg bet$207
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 0 History 76 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$487
7 days−$121
14 days−$1,055
30 days−$1,055
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03? No 8¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $253 $0 −$253 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $501 +$17 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $505 +$36 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $200 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $604 +$15 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $400 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $201 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$29 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $648 −$500 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $200 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $302 +$30 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $303 −$94 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $126 −$9 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$13 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $264 −$253 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $236 +$444 +189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$44 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $202 +$23 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$27 +105%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $561 −$118 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $93 −$90 -97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $520 −$25 -5%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $86 −$14 -17%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $102 −$4 -4%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $203 −$145 -72%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $50 +$24 +48%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $51 −$45 -89%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $86 +$41 +48%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $224 −$36 -16%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Lehecka/Moutet vs Hanfmann/Struff Jun 12 $35 −$5 -14%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $20 −$13 -62%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $101 +$17 +16%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $51 +$42 +83%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $545 +$139 +26%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $30 +$11 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $203 +$54 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$13 +280%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $102 −$57 -56%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $51 −$28 -55%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $434 +$217 +50%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $101 −$54 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$19 -72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% −$626
other 43% −$301
sports 6% −$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $125 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $96 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $102 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -2.3% -11.6% 53% 31% -10.4%
≤30d 76 -5.5% -14.5% 49% 30% -15.0%
≤90d 76 -5.5% -14.5% 49% 30% -15.0%
all 76 -5.5% -14.5% 49% 30% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 30% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 25% -23.1%
15% -30.2% 18% -30.6%
20% -37.0% 13% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 260 history records