Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:21:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd2f8…def0
crypto · 7 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses2 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$5 -54%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$3 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% −$5
other 21% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 28m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 41m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 0¢ $0 51m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $6 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-48.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -43.2% -48.6% 29% 0% -33.8%
≤30d 7 -43.2% -48.6% 29% 0% -33.8%
≤90d 7 -43.2% -48.6% 29% 0% -33.8%
all 7 -43.2% -48.6% 29% 0% -33.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -48.6% 0% -33.8%
10% ← realistic here -53.6% 0% -40.2%
15% -58.0% 0% -46.0%
20% -62.2% 0% -51.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 34 history records