trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -50.7% | -55.4% | 33% | 33% | -53.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -50.7% | -55.4% | 33% | 33% | -53.9% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -50.7% | -55.4% | 33% | 33% | -53.9% |
| all | 9 | -55.2% | -59.5% | 22% | 22% | -47.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -59.5% | 22% | -47.9% |
| 10% | -63.4% | 22% | -52.9% |
| 15% | -66.9% | 22% | -57.4% |
| 20% | -70.1% | 11% | -61.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | Yes | 46¢ | 38¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-18%) |
| Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 17¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+26%) |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | −$1 (-27%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +48% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | Mar 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Inter win on 2025-05-31? | May 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11? | May 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will no new pope be elected in 2025? | May 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $3.10 in March? | Apr 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15? | Apr 15 | $2 | +$3 | +155% |