Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd2e8…c60e
sports · 7 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$33 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses5 / 2
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$33
14 days+$33
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $122 +$14 +11%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $1 +$1 +58%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $41 −$1 -2%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $57 +$18 +32%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $84 −$1 -1%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $2 +$1 +59%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 100¢ $21 44m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 70¢ $19 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 69¢ $18 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 69¢ $18 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 68¢ $51 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 63¢ $18 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 70¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 58¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan SELL Viktorija Golubic 20¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 12¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 60¢ $56 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 53¢ $51 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 62¢ $40 2h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 62¢ $41 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 78¢ $0 3h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 76¢ $50 3h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 61¢ $41 3h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 26¢ $25 3h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 16¢ $16 3h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 34¢ $4 3h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 20¢ $2 3h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic $41 4h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 40¢ $4 4h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 52¢ $38 4h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Alexander Shevchenko 57¢ $3 5h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Alexander Shevchenko 49¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)+12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +24.4% +12.5% 71% 71% -0.0%
≤30d 7 +24.4% +12.5% 71% 71% -0.0%
≤90d 7 +24.4% +12.5% 71% 71% -0.0%
all 7 +24.4% +12.5% 71% 71% -0.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.5% 71% -0.0%
10% ← realistic here +1.8% 43% -9.6%
15% -8.1% 29% -18.3%
20% -17.1% 29% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 27 history records