Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:11:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D2 0xd2e2…a8a9 crypto 1754 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (309 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$544 (-6%) realized −$544 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1715W / 39L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day308.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% −$10
other 20% −$16
sports 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (309 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1754 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 1754 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 1754 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 0% -9.8%
all 1754 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover308.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 0% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$544
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1715 / 39
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1754 / 1754
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day308.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1754 Trades
no open positions (26 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 29m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 48m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 57m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records