trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 3 | -42.0% | -47.5% | 33% | 0% | -16.0% |
| all | 17 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 65% | 24% | -5.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -15.9% | 24% | -5.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -23.9% | 18% | -14.9% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 18% | -23.1% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 12% | -30.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $240 | $229 | −$11 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | May 14 | $4,630 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 10 | $1,731 | −$449 | -26% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Apr 10 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Mar 25 | $484 | $0 | -0% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 19 | $618 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Mar 17 | $2,160 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Mar 08 | $1,453 | +$12 | +1% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | Mar 03 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Hawks vs. Timberwolves | Feb 06 | $1,520 | −$1,520 | -100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026? | Jan 30 | $22,419 | $0 | +0% |
| Lakers vs. Cavaliers | Jan 30 | $3,100 | +$1,900 | +61% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026? | Jan 23 | $910 | −$910 | -100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026? | Jan 13 | $6,000 | +$2,720 | +45% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Jan 10 | $50 | +$37 | +74% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9? | Jan 10 | $110 | +$24 | +22% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Jan 09 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Jan 03 | $89 | $0 | +0% |