trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +59.7% | +44.5% | 100% | 50% | +1.4% |
| all | 10 | +30.5% | +18.1% | 100% | 40% | -0.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +18.1% | 40% | -0.0% |
| 10% | +6.8% | 20% | -9.6% |
| 15% | -3.5% | 10% | -18.3% |
| 20% | -13.0% | 10% | -26.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30? | No | 89¢ | 89¢ | $250 | $250 | −$0 (-0%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $27 | $7 | −$20 (-74%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-90%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? | Jun 15 | $286 | +$1 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Apr 15 | $252 | +$39 | +16% |
| Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Intelligence" during the next White House Pr | Apr 15 | $15 | +$32 | +214% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 22 | $201 | +$19 | +9% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | Mar 07 | $191 | +$10 | +5% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Mar 06 | $180 | +$11 | +6% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February? | Mar 02 | $48 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (Feb | Feb 12 | $60 | +$5 | +8% |
| Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this | Feb 12 | $50 | +$16 | +32% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Feb 04 | $142 | +$15 | +11% |