Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:55:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd2c7…4e7c
sports · 3 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$4 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Under 85¢ 84¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $13 +$1 +7%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$3 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$1
other 27% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 85¢ $14 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $14 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $13 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $13 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +17.2% +6.0% 100% 50% +4.9%
≤30d 2 +17.2% +6.0% 100% 50% +4.9%
≤90d 2 +17.2% +6.0% 100% 50% +4.9%
all 2 +17.2% +6.0% 100% 50% +4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +6.0% 50% +4.9%
10% -4.1% 50% -5.2%
15% -13.4% 0% -14.3%
20% -21.9% 0% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.92 · official $13.92 (match) · 5 history records